Issuers: if you modeled CEDP like Level 3, your forecast is carrying risk.
CEDP isn't a rebrand of Level 3. The qualification mechanics are different, and small business Product 3 rates moved in January. Both matter for issuer forecasts that carried L3 assumptions forward.
(Part 3 of 5 in the April 2026 Visa Package series)
What actually changed:
Small Business Product 3 rates are now around 2.45% to 2.70% + $0.10, up 65 basis points from the October 2025 CEDP verified rates effective January 24. Purchasing and Corporate T&E Product 3 sits at 1.75% + $0.10 (per Visa's U.S. Interchange Reimbursement Fees guide, effective April 18, 2026).
Level 2 ended April 18. Volume that used to clear at Level 2 incentive rates now falls back to Product 1, which is an interchange pickup for issuers on that book.
The bigger structural change is the qualification process. Under L3, qualification was largely set-and-forget once a merchant was certified. Under CEDP, validation is monthly and field-level. Generic data, placeholder text, blanks, zeros, filler all disqualify, and transactions that qualified one month can fail the next. Optimized Payments has reported early observations of qualification failures even at merchants on CEDP-supported gateways.
If your forecast assumes CEDP qualification behaves like L3 did, that's the variable to test. The dynamic validation is the real change, not the rate structure.
This week: pull your first-pass CEDP qualification rate by card product for the last 90 days. Compare against your prior L3 baseline. The gap, in either direction, is the forecast risk.
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